• Loading stock data...
Thursday, January 23, 2025

‘Stubbornly High’ Inventory Slowing New Nike CEO’s Turnaround Mission

In Elliott Hill’s first quarter as CEO, the sportswear giant said revenue came in at $12.4 billion, an 8% drop from the year-ago period but stronger than expectations.

Jun 20, 2024; Eugene, OR, USA; Detailed view of Nike Alphafly 3 racing flat at the Nike by Eugene store.
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Nike reported a drop in revenues in its fiscal 2025 second quarter, the company’s first since Elliott Hill formally took the CEO job in October. The sportswear giant said revenue came in at $12.4 billion, an 8% drop from the same period ago, but higher than last quarter.

Analysts have been closely watching the sneaker giant for even faint signs of a turnaround as Nike has been battling fading demand for once-high-performing product lines like Air Force 1s, Air Jordan 1s, and Dunks, and rising competition from upstarts Hoka and On.

Analysts estimated revenue of $12.18 billion (about 9% lower than the year-ago period), and 64 cents in earnings per share. The stock rose nearly 8% in after-hours trading, with investors likely pleased results were slightly better than what analysts forecast.

The fiscal second covers the three-month period ending Nov. 30; Hill officially took the helm in mid-October.

Direct-to-consumer sales were also lower in the quarter: down 13% to $5 billion. Gross margin dropped to 43.6%, “primarily due to higher discounts and changes in channel mix, partially offset by lower product input costs as well as lower warehousing and logistics cost,” the company said.

“We’re taking immediate action to reposition our business, so we can get back to driving long-term shareholder value. Our team is ready to go, and I’m confident you will see more moments of Nike being Nike again,” Hill said in the earnings statement. CFO Matthew Friend said the company is making “progress in shifting our portfolio.”

Standing immediately in the way of any Nike resurgence is its continuing need to reduce the presence of some of its popular franchises Dunk and Air Force 1s are “still in the thick of clearance,” with the third wave of discounts “picking up into holidays as inventory remains stubbornly high, not helped by an endless flow of new Dunk colorways launching,” according to Bernstein analysts.

Nike has been working to clear out stale inventory of these three franchises—including hefty discounts at the wholesale and retail levels—before the company introduces new products. The lack of compelling new and innovative products has dogged Nike in the past several quarters; previous CEO John Donahoe conceded the need to build “a robust pipeline of innovation” earlier this year.

On the earnings call following the earnings release, Hill said traffic in Nike’s direct-to-consumer channels have softened, with the result being “we’ve become far too promotional,” adding that “our digital platforms are delivering a 50-50 split of promotional sales with a level of markdown that affects the brand, disrupts the overall marketplace.” Hill said Nike will return to be a “premium destination.”

Of particular interest to analysts is what Hill says about the strategy to return Nike to growth and how long it will take, the product innovation pipeline and what changes might come to the company’s distribution strategy.

“Where are we in the product clearance journey? When do we reach the inflection point when stale product is cleared and new launches can start building brand heat?” Bernstein retail analyst Aneesha Sherman wrote in a recent note. 

Investors want to see old products cleared out as well as new products coming into the mix “to generate brand heat,” Sherman wrote. But based on its Q2 earnings, the process is far from finished.

China is another area of concern: The Beaverton, Ore., retailer reported an 11% drop in revenue (coming from footwear, apparel, and equipment) from greater China. Nike still ranks near the top among all brands for quality and performance among Chinese consumers, but its long dominance is waning as local brands gain ground and smaller brands like On spark demand. 

Meaningful change will take a few quarters. Cristina Fernández, retail analyst at Telsey Advisory Group, expected the brand’s lifestyle category of footwear to be the weakest; she also expected guidance for the third quarter to be soft, with sales down 9% year over year and declining gross margin. 

The results come at a time of flux for Nike’s relationship with retailers that carry its products. 

Foot Locker reported a sales and earnings miss in the third quarter this month, in part driven by a weaker consumer and too much discounting, which can dilute brand value. And on a call with analysts, an executive noted that among other challenges, the chain was “contending with some more recent softness” from Nike, its largest brand partner, which also impacted results.

In October Nike reported a 10% drop in revenue for its fiscal first-quarter, in line with estimates it provided last quarter. Revenues came in at $11.6 billion.

Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

Mariano Rivera

Mariano Rivera Accused Of Covering Up Sexual Abuse in Lawsuit Against Church

Rivera and his wife founded the church sued in New York court.
Trent Baalke

Trent Baalke Out As Jaguars GM After Scaring Off Head Coach Candidates

At least three coaches were uninterested in working with Baalke.
Mike Golic Jr and Mike Golic
exclusive

Mike Golic, Mike Golic Jr. Leaving DraftKings

A source tells FOS their contracts expire in late March.

Featured Today

Jeremiah Smith

Ohio State’s Title Isn’t As Simple As $20 Million in NIL

Three lessons from the Buckeyes’ title beyond “pay the best players.”
January 22, 2025

Can Upstart Sports Leagues Beat the Grim Start-Up Odds?

Investors think they can buck the massive failure rate of new enterprises.
January 21, 2025

Amateurism Dilemma on Full Display at the College Football Playoff

The sport has never looked or operated more like a pro league.
January 19, 2025

Unrivaled’s Impeccable Timing Pressures WNBA to Give Players More

The league could “blow the lid off” the business of women’s sports.
Classic Football Shirts New York Pop-Up
November 18, 2024

Vintage Soccer Jerseys Have Found a Sweet Spot in the Lucrative U.S...

The money-making shirts are at the prime intersection of memorabilia and fashion.
A line of Black Friday shoppers streams into the Nike Store at Tanger Outlets in Pooler.
November 29, 2024

Sportswear Giants Are Ready for Trump’s Tariffs This Time Around

Retailers cut their exposure to China when Trump imposed tariffs in 2018.
Sponsored

How UBS Crafts Impactful Partnerships Across Sports, Arts, and Culture

As UBS continues to expand its impressive array of sports and entertainment partnerships, the company solidifies its position as a leader in wealth management.
Nov 5, 2023; New York, NY, USA; Hellen Obiri of Kenya celebrates after finishing first place in the NYC Marathon.
November 12, 2024

On Brand Posts Record Sales, Says It’s No Longer ‘Just a Running..

The Swiss company credited its full-price strategy for its stellar quarter.
April 13, 2019; Oakland, CA, USA; Detail view of Anta shoes worn by Golden State Warriors guard Klay Thompson (11) during the second quarter in game one of the first round of the 2019 NBA Playoffs against the LA Clippers at Oracle Arena.
November 8, 2024

Nike and Adidas Are Losing Sportswear Share in China

Chinese brands like Anta and Li-Ning are taking Nike’s share of the market.
November 7, 2024

Under Armour Turnaround Underway, Raises Profit Guidance

CEO and founder Kevin Plank returned to lead the company in April.
Brooks Running posted positive numbers in Q1 of 2023.
November 2, 2024

Brooks Running Is Having Its Best Year Ever

Brooks opened its first store in Shanghai as it pushes into China.