Wednesday, July 15, 2026

Thunder Poised to Dominate for Years After Winning West

The Thunder could maintain their competitive core for years, even under the NBA’s restrictive new salary-cap rules.

SGA
Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images

The Thunder are going to their first NBA Finals since 2012, when a young Kevin Durant fell to LeBron James and the Heat. 

They could be regulars there for years to come. 

While the NBA’s new collective bargaining agreement is designed to create parity, the Thunder are perhaps the best team equipped to challenge the notion. 

The Thunder have a combination of youth and frugality on their side, in addition to numerous assets to help them as the team gets older and more expensive in the future.

Defensive specialist Alex Caruso is the team’s oldest player at 31, and they have the fourth-youngest roster in the league at an average age of 24.7, according to Elias.

If the Thunder win the title, they will be the second-youngest NBA champion trailing only the 1977 Portland Trail Blazers (24.2), led by 24-year-old Bill Walton. The most recent NBA champion to rival the Thunder’s youth was the 2015 Golden State Warriors, who were an average age 26.3 years old. That core of Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, and Klay Thompson went on to win three more. 

The Thunder are led by league MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is a year younger than Curry was when he won his first title. After Monday’s Game 4 win, Gilgeous-Alexander acknowledged how the Thunder are working with a similar young trio with Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren alongside him. 

We still have so much more room to grow, which is the scary part,” Gilgeous-Alexander said after Monday’s Game 4 win against Minnesota. “I’m 26, which seems old compared to the other two. They’re 23 and 24. They haven’t even hit close to their prime yet. Both of them are out there just playing off of feel and their talent. I’m excited for the future.” 

Because of their youth, the Thunder aren’t in the financial race against time the way teams like the Celtics, Nuggets, and Cavaliers are.

Despite boasting the league MVP in Gilgeous-Alexander and a fellow All-Star in Williams, the Thunder will finish this season roughly $5 million below the luxury tax, boasting the league’s sixth-cheapest roster. Like the Knicks, the Thunder can easily afford to more or less run back the same roster next year.

But pay raises are coming soon and it will be interesting to see how the organization handles it. Shortly after the Thunder’s previous Finals run, the team traded away James Harden after refusing to give him the full rookie extension. Harden went on to become an MVP and the remaining duo of Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant weren’t able to win the conference afterward. 

Both Holmgren and Williams are eligible to sign rookie extensions this summer, which would pay $42.5 million per season, but could increase by $9 million if either is named All-NBA next season. Gilgeous-Alexander is able to sign a four-year, $293 million extension. If he waits a year, it becomes a five-year deal worth roughly $380 million that would kick in for the 2027–28 season.

Sam Presti, the team’s longtime general manager already seems to be planning for it. Presti, who was named Executive of the Year this season, has structured the team’s books to where both Isaiah Hartenstein ($28.5 million) and Lu Dort ($17.7 million) have team options for the 2026-27 season, which would come off the cap sheet as the rookie extensions kick in. Perhaps he can convince them to pull a Jalen Brunson and take a discount to help keep the core together. 

The Thunder’s rebuild started with a flush of draft picks after trading Paul George to the Clippers in a return highlighted by Gilgeous-Alexander. The team could have as many as five first-round picks next year depending on how protections shake out from the Jazz, Heat, Rockets and Sixers. Presti has the capital to swing a trade to help balance the roster, or draft and develop replacements for any possible apron casualties. 

But those are problems for another day. For now, the Thunder await the winner of Knicks-Pacers to see who they’ll face for a chance at the organization’s first title moving from Seattle in 2008. 

Dynasties appear to be dead in the NBA. The Thunder need to win one first, but they represent the best chance to bring them back. 

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Sign up for
The Memo Newsletter

Get the biggest stories and best analysis on the business of sports delivered to your inbox twice every weekday and twice on weekends.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

The Most Powerful Lawyer in Sports Is Representing Paramount

Kessler is defending Paramount’s merger with WBD against antitrust claims.
Gavel

Key Figure in Basketball Gambling Scandals to Plead Guilty in Poker Case

Shane Hennen is a defendant in three gambling-related scandals.

MLB Players and Owners Still Miles Apart: ‘I Think It’s Perverse’

Baseball’s management and labor leaders offer very different viewpoints. 
podcast thumbnail mobile
Front Office Sports Today

7/14/26 – World Cup Semis, Michigan AD Probe, FanDuel VIP Scandal

0:00

Featured Today

What the World Cup Means to Erling Haaland’s Tiny Hometown

The tournament’s breakout star is from a rural Norwegian town.
July 10, 2026

Why So Many Media Outlets Are Rushing Into Sports

Sports coverage has ballooned in every corner of media.
Pillow Fight Championship
July 8, 2026

How Obscure Sports Get Mainstream TV Deals

For niche sports, getting on TV often matters more than getting paid.
ATLANTA, GA - September 05: Georgia Lottery fireworks after the game against the Seattle Mariners at Truist Park on Friday, September 5, 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia.
July 2, 2026

Inside the Spectacle and Science of MLB Fireworks

Postgame fireworks are lighting up baseball for America250.
Kansas City Chiefs
July 1, 2026

NFL Teams Push to Turn Futbol Fans Into Football Devotees

NFL teams are courting international soccer fans during their World Cup visits.

Seahawks Set NFL Record With $9.612B Sale to Khosla

Vinod Khosla’s wife will “serve as the controlling owner.”
Feb 8, 2026; Santa Clara, CA, USA; Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Cooper Kupp (10) catches a pass against New England Patriots cornerback Marcus Jones (25) in the first half in Super Bowl LX at Levi's Stadium.
July 9, 2026

Two Bidders Pull Ahead in Seahawks Sale Process

One of the two groups includes at least one former Seahawks player.
Jun 20, 2026; Raleigh, North Carolina, USA; Carolina Hurricanes left wing William Carrier (28) and defenseman K'andre Miller (19) walk out with the Stanley Cup trophy during the Stanley Cup championship parade and rally at Raleigh.
July 10, 2026

Dundon Faces Backlash for Engraving Kids’ Names on Stanley Cup

All five names of the owner’s children are on the Stanley Cup.
Sponsored

Clase Azul Tequila Founder’s Soccer Ownership

Arturo Lomeli talks about managing a tequila brand and two soccer clubs.
July 6, 2026

Chicago Sky Shuffle Practice Venues As Facility Delay Continues

Chicago has not given a firm opening date for their practice facility.
July 1, 2026

Celtics Send Jaylen Brown to Sixers in Swap of Huge Contracts

Paul George is set to make $54 million next year.
June 24, 2026

Cardinals Shake Up Front Office in Long-Term Leadership Plan

Club owner Bill DeWitt Jr. begins to prepare the club for life without him.
Jan 22, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Washington Spirit team owner Michele Kang talks to media during a press conference at BMO Stadium.
June 24, 2026

Michele Kang to Buy Lyon in Deal That Would End Textor’s Ownership

Kang will pay $30 million for around 88% of Lyon.