Saturday, May 2, 2026

How Florida Built a Final Four Roster With ‘Under-Recruited’ Players

In a state that leans heavily on NIL, the men’s basketball roster came together using strategic analytics and the transfer portal instead.

Mar 1, 2025; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida Gators guard Walter Clayton Jr. (1) and center Olivier Rioux (32) and guard Alijah Martin (15) and forward Thomas Haugh (10) huddle after the game against the Texas A&M Aggies at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center
Morgan Tencza/Imagn Images
Exclusive

Mark Cuban Admits He Wanted to Buy Back Mavericks

“That’s just not the game anymore.”
Read Now
May 1, 2026 |

SAN ANTONIO — The state of Florida is the NIL (name, image, and likeness) capital of the nation in many ways. It had a state law allowing NIL deals beginning on July 1, 2021—earlier than other states—that forced the NCAA to change its rules nationwide. Schools in Miami particularly had many of the biggest early NIL boosters and also drew some of the earliest scandals.

But the No. 1–seeded Florida men’s basketball team didn’t build a Final Four–caliber roster with the promise of big paychecks to entice the flashiest recruits. Yes, it’s used the transfer portal, which, since December 2023, has allowed for unrestricted transfers. Yes, it’s an NIL ecosystem to pay players. 

But the Gators have also spent the past few years putting together a scrappy roster of under-the-radar players, investing heavily in advanced analytics to discover them. And while all teams have access to analytics, the Gators believe they focus on different metrics than other teams—which often leads them to recruiting players who have gone overlooked.

On Friday in San Antonio, head coach Todd Golden told reporters, “We try to view everything we do through an analytical [lens] … just gathering as much data as we possibly can on whatever decision it is that we’re trying to make.” 

The program hadn’t been to a Final Four since 2014, and hadn’t appeared in an Elite Eight since 2018. Golden was hired in 2022, tasked with a rebuild after the Mike White era. He brought Jonathan Safir, Florida’s director of basketball strategy and analytics, along with him. 

Safir describes his role to Front Office Sports as to “try and just optimize and find ways to win on the margins.” That could be analyzing statistics of the opposing team during a game to influence playing strategy—Golden pointed to how many times the team decided to foul Texas Tech players in the final minutes of the Elite Eight game, as well as which players to target, as an example. Or, it could mean identifying recruits who could fill a gap in the Gators’ roster (somewhat similar to a moneyball approach). Golden said even nonconference scheduling is influenced by advanced metrics.

The process for recruiting players goes something like this: First, the team uses a mix of analytics—often starting with KenPom statistics but also using a variety of numbers—to vet the player’s potential. Safir believes the Gators focus on different stats than other teams, and that’s worked to their advantage. “We don’t ever look at counting stats,” he says. Instead, the team invests in other advanced metrics, like a player’s steal and block rate from a defensive end, for example. 

Then, a player has to pass the “eye test” and finally visit Gainesville on a recruiting trip to see how he may mesh with the rest of the team, program, and community. Not every program relies so heavily on these visits.

As for NIL, there’s a preliminary conversation about the range of compensation a player would agree to—and if the numbers are too high, the player isn’t even considered. If the relationship is mutual, a player will sign. He emphasizes that the program only wants players who are dedicated to Florida, rather than just looking for a paycheck.

Mar 29, 2025; San Francisco, CA, USA; Florida Gators center Rueben Chinyelu (9) cuts down the net after defeating the Texas Tech Red Raiders during the West Regional final of the 2025 NCAA tournament at Chase Center.
Eakin Howard/Imagn Images

“We’ve never gotten a single player because we’re the highest bidder,” Safir says. He adds: “We make sure our guys are taken care of financially, but it’s about so much more than that. We want guys with great attitudes, great work ethics, and guys who really want to be here.”

The team recruited Alex Condon and Thomas Haugh out of high school, but most other key contributors have come through the transfer portal. Safir points to Will Richard, who started at Florida in 2022, as the program’s first big recruit of the new era. Richard was completely “under-recruited” out of high school, and played his freshman season at Belmont. Then, there are the team’s two leading scorers, Walter Clayton Jr. and Alijah Martin, who were both zero-star recruits coming out of high school. Clayton was recruited from Rick Pitino’s Iona program in 2023 (Florida was able to lure him away from joining Pitino’s new program at St. John’s), and Martin came from FAU in 2024. 

During the Elite Eight postgame interview, Golden called his players “badass,” and said he didn’t care that they weren’t ranked high.  

The Gators’ strategy will face its biggest test yet when they play the overall top-seeded Auburn Tigers in an all-SEC Final Four matchup in San Antonio. Whatever happens Saturday night, however, Golden is confident that the team’s approach has already been a success. 

“We try to bridge that gap, also, of being analytical while also using a little bit of a human element to make some certain decisions,” Golden said Thursday. “I think obviously, where we are right now, and the way we’ve done it, is really good proof of concept with the way we’re trying to build our program.”

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Sign up for
The Memo Newsletter

Get the biggest stories and best analysis on the business of sports delivered to your inbox twice every weekday and twice on weekends.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

Kaitlin Oaks (left) from Tampa looks at photos with Layla Abutha from Tampa while attending Thurby at Churchill Downs during the week of Kentucky Derby on Thursday, April 30, 2026.

Kentucky Derby Is Courting Gen Z

Churchill Downs is mixing traditional splendor with a youthful atmosphere.
Apr 6, 2026; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Michigan Wolverines head coach Dusty May celebrates with the trophy after defeating the UConn Huskies in the national championship of the Final Four of the men's 2026 NCAA Tournament at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Dusty May: Another Men’s Championship Will Cost $10M or More

“We anticipate it to be much greater next year,” May told FOS.
UConn Huskies forward Tarris Reed Jr. (5) backs down Michigan Wolverines center Aday Mara (15) on Monday, April 6, 2026, during the NCAA men’s basketball national championship game at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

NCAA Nears Decision to Expand, but Key Steps Remain 

“No final recommendations or decisions have been made at this time.”
INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - MARCH 25: Caitlin Clark of the Indiana Fever sits on the baseline and makes photographs during the Indiana Pacers game against the Los Angeles Lakers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on March 25, 2026 in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Why Athletes Are Moonlighting As Sports Photographers

Athletes are swapping courtside seats for sideline cameras.

Featured Today

Quinnipiac women's varsity rugby

The Death of Quinnipiac Women’s Varsity Rugby

The sudden decision at Ilona Maher’s alma mater left players blindsided.
April 17, 2026

The Lawyer Steering the NIL Era

In the new era of college sports, Darren Heitner is everywhere.
blake griffin
April 14, 2026

Inside Blake Griffin’s Rookie Season at Prime Video

The six-time All-Star was initially hesitant to enter the media space.
Matthew Schaefer/Front Office Sports
April 10, 2026

Matthew Schaefer Has the Hockey World in His Thrall

The teenage Islanders defenseman cannon-balled into the NHL.
Empty tennis courts

‘In Shock’: Why College Tennis Programs Are Disappearing

In just one week, four D-I schools announced they’d eliminate tennis programs.
Nov 15, 2025; Provo, Utah, USA; The BYU Cougars offense lines up against the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs defense during the first half at LaVell Edwards Stadium.
April 29, 2026

Big 12 Presidents Approve Deal With RedBird Capital

“We’ve got a strong bench now,” Brett Yormark told FOS about the deal.
Jan 29, 2026; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Former Washington Wizards guard John Wall looks on before a game against the Milwaukee Bucks at Capital One Arena. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images
April 30, 2026

John Wall Joins Howard As President of Basketball Operations

Wall has already weighed in on the Bison’s roster.
Sponsored

Why Brandon Marshall Bet on Athlete-Owned Media

Brandon Marshall on athlete media, life after football, building I AM ATHLETE.
April 29, 2026

NCAA To Pay Millions to Tennis Players, Tweak Prize Money Rules

The settlement says the NCAA already changed its prize money rules.
April 29, 2026

Dusty May Says Unsigned Michigan Deal Is Just a ‘Formality’

May told FOS he won’t sign his new contract until July. 
Sponsored

How Thrivent and Athletes for Hope Are Leading With Purpose

Meet those making a difference as Thrivent and Athletes for Hope spotlight community impact.
Nov 22, 2025; College Park, Maryland, USA; Michigan Wolverines head coach Sherrone Moore on the sidelines during the first quarter against the Maryland Terrapins at SECU Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-Imagn Images
April 24, 2026

Paige Shiver: U-M Athletics Leadership Was Aware of Sherrone Moore Affair

The ex-Wolverines staffer told GMA school officials “didn’t do anything about it.”