Monday, May 4, 2026

NBA’s Anti-Tanking Push Hasn’t Stopped a Historically Bad Start

Data through the first four weeks of the season shows futility numbers that have not been replicated in the last two decades.

Rafael Suanes-Imagn Images

The NBA has made several changes in recent years to curb tanking. But several NBA teams have continued to build rosters designed to lose, leading to historic levels of futility in the early stages of the 2025–26 season.

There are four teams with two wins or fewer through the first 13 games of the season:

  • Pacers (1–13)
  • Wizards (1–12)
  • Pelicans (2–12)
  • Nets (2–11)

This is just the third time that’s happened in NBA history, per data from Sportradar. The two other instances occurred in the 1997–98 and 2004–05 seasons. In the 22 seasons from 2004–05 to this year, only one other time did multiple teams hold a record of 2–11 or worse through 13 games (2007–08). 

Before Brooklyn defeated Washington on Sunday, they shared an identical 1–11 record with Indiana. It was just the second time in NBA history that at least three teams started a season 1–11 or worse. 

Washington and Brooklyn were tanking candidates from the beginning of the season. The two teams are deploying the youngest teams in the NBA, normally a sign that a team is looking to develop young talent rather than shoot for a postseason spot. (Note: The Thunder won the 2024–25 NBA title with the league’s second-youngest roster.)

Neither team’s roster has a “star,” which, according to the league’s definition, is a player who has made the All-Star Game or All-NBA team in at least one of the last three seasons. Khris Middleton is the only player on either team who has ever made the All-Star Game, and the 34-year-old last made it in 2022.

The Wizards’ offseason moves suggested they were ready for another season in the NBA’s doldrums. Their notable move was to add CJ McCollum, a respected NBA veteran, though he’s expected to be traded to a competitive team before the February trade deadline, given he’s 34 and on an expiring contract.

Washington is on pace to finish with its third consecutive season with fewer than 20 wins, which would be the first time that’s happened since “The Process” Sixers from the 2013–14 to 2015–16 seasons. 

Brooklyn hasn’t experienced the same level of incompetence in recent years—and it blew out the Wizards by 23 points when the two met Sunday—but it isn’t necessarily in a better position due to a lack of building blocks.

The Nets surprised the league by selecting five first-round picks in the 2025 draft, but only one, Egor Dёmin, who many deemed was a reach at No. 8, has been in the team’s regular rotation all season. 

Indiana, which made the Finals last year, lost star guard Tyrese Haliburton for this season with an Achilles tendon tear. It wasn’t a tanking candidate to begin the season, but it has been hammered with multiple injuries to other key role players, which could easily turn the season into a gap year.

This would be a similar model to the 2019–20 Warriors, who won just 15 games while dealing with injuries to Steph Curry and Klay Thompson, then won the No. 2 pick in the 2020 NBA draft, which they used to select James Wiseman.

New Orleans is the outlier among the four teams, given that it doesn’t own its 2026 first-round pick after an infamous 2025 draft-night trade with the Hawks. The team fired head coach Willie Green on Saturday after just 12 games. 

Discouraging Strategic Losing

The NBA’s attempts to curb tanking include changing the draft lottery odds. In 2019, the league flattened the odds among all qualified teams and gave the three teams with the lowest odds an equal 14% chance of securing the No. 1 pick. The previous system awarded a 25% chance to the team with the worst record, and the three teams with the worst record had better than a 14% chance at the top selection.

The previous format used the lottery only to select the top three picks, while the remaining teams fell based on record. The new system selects four picks through the lottery, adding more opportunities for teams to jump the line, ostensibly disincentivizing tanking.

The NBA also added a play-in tournament, which meant teams that finished Nos. 9 and 10 in their conference could still qualify for the playoffs. The idea was to motivate teams on the cusp of the play-in tournament to continue competing late in the season rather than tanking for better odds.

The changes have somewhat worked. The Mavericks won the 2025 NBA lottery with a 1.8% chance. Late-season NBA games have had more stakes as teams battled to qualify for the top six—an automatic playoff berth—to avoid the play-in.

But certain organizations continue to believe tanking is the quickest way to the top, especially when they see the performance of teams like the Spurs, who have been selected in the top four in the last three drafts. The 2026 draft is also projected to be one of the best, led by three top prospects: Darryn Peterson, AJ Dybantsa, and Cameron Boozer.

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Sign up for
The Memo Newsletter

Get the biggest stories and best analysis on the business of sports delivered to your inbox twice every weekday and twice on weekends.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

NBA Playoffs Deliver Early With Game 7 Drama, Strong Ratings

It’s unclear whether Luka Dončić will return in the second round.

Valkyries Cut the Player They Acquired in Flau’jae Johnson Deal

The Golden State Valkyries acquired Marta Suárez and a future second-round pick on draft night for Flau’jae Johnson.

Indiana Fever Accused of Using AI Again After Caitlin Clark Remark

It’s not the first time the organization’s been accused of using AI.

Dundon Pours Money Into Pickleball As He Cuts Blazers Spending

NBA fans have nicknamed the Blazers owner “El Cheapo.”

Featured Today

Kaitlin Oaks (left) from Tampa looks at photos with Layla Abutha from Tampa while attending Thurby at Churchill Downs during the week of Kentucky Derby on Thursday, April 30, 2026.

Kentucky Derby Is Courting Gen Z

Churchill Downs is mixing traditional splendor with a youthful atmosphere.
INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - MARCH 25: Caitlin Clark of the Indiana Fever sits on the baseline and makes photographs during the Indiana Pacers game against the Los Angeles Lakers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on March 25, 2026 in Indianapolis, Indiana.
April 22, 2026

Why Athletes Are Moonlighting As Sports Photographers

Athletes are swapping courtside seats for sideline cameras.
Quinnipiac women's varsity rugby
April 21, 2026

The Death of Quinnipiac Women’s Varsity Rugby

The sudden decision at Ilona Maher’s alma mater left players blindsided.
April 17, 2026

The Lawyer Steering the NIL Era

In the new era of college sports, Darren Heitner is everywhere.

Panthers Owner Viola Wins Second Kentucky Derby

Golden Tempo’s rally to victory marks the second Derby win for Viola.
May 1, 2026

USL Announces Tentative New CBA After Player Protests

Players protested by stopping play during matches this season.
May 1, 2026

Elizabeth Williams Explains Why WNBA Players Drew Line on Housing

Williams recently re-signed with the Sky for two years, $1.2 million.
Sponsored

Why Brandon Marshall Bet on Athlete-Owned Media

Brandon Marshall on athlete media, life after football, building I AM ATHLETE.
AUSL Golden Ticket
May 1, 2026

‘Golden Tickets’ Could Juice AUSL College Draft

The ticket ensures players will be selected by a team in May.
April 30, 2026

Max Verstappen’s Future Looms Over F1’s Return to Miami

F1 returns after a monthlong hiatus due to two canceled races.
April 30, 2026

F1’s New Era Hits Reset in Miami: How Will Teams Adjust to Rules?

Drivers have been unhappy about F1’s new regulations.
[US, Mexico & Canada customers only] Feb 6, 2026; Riyadh, SAUDI ARABIA; Jon Rahm in action during the third round of play at LIV Golf Riyadh at the Riyadh Golf Club.
April 30, 2026

7 Questions About LIV After Saudis Pull Funding

LIV’s 2026 season is scheduled to run through August.