Thursday, September 10, 2026
  • -
    days
  • -
    hours
  • -
    minutes
  • -
    seconds

NFL Draft Picks Can Alter A Team’s Success, Impact Its Value

  • NFL Drafts inevitably alter the course of league history, and mistakes can set a franchise back for a decade.
  • This year’s quarterback class offers tantalizing talent and risk.
Feb 13, 2023; Phoenix, AZ, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes speaks flanked by Vince Lombardi Trophy during the Super Bowl 57 Winning Team Head Coach and MVP press conference at the Phoenix Convention Center.
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The New England Patriots had never won a Super Bowl and were coming off an 8-8 season when they selected Tom Brady in the sixth round of the 2000 NFL Draft — after 198 other picks. Six Super Bowl titles later, it’s fair to say things worked out.

Brady was the key factor behind the Pats’ rise from a $172 million purchase in 1994 to the second-most valuable NFL club at $6.4 billion, according to Forbes.

The right choice can change a franchise — but so can a wrong one.

In 2005, the San Francisco 49ers selected quarterback Alex Smith with the first overall pick. Smith led the 49ers to the NFC Championship game in 2011 and presided over four playoff runs after being traded to the Kansas City Chiefs. 

But what if the 49ers had instead looked across the Bay to UC Berkeley quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who was visibly crestfallen after dropping to the Green Bay Packers at No. 24?

In 2017, the Chicago Bears traded up for the second-overall pick (swapping their third overall pick with the 49ers) to ensure that they would land North Carolina’s Mitchell Trubisky.

The second team to pick a quarterback that year, the Chiefs, had to settle for Patrick Mahomes with the 10th pick.

NFL Draft

How Agents Navigate the NFL Draft Process

Fight for players grows harder as agents cut fees to attract clients.
April 26, 2023

Former Heisman Trophy winner Danny Wuerffel told Front Office Sports Today that he sees Mahomes-like potential in Florida’s Anthony Richardson, but Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud, and Will Levis are considered safer bets. Will another team make an era-defining mistake?

The NFL begins a new chapter today — with all the weight of future history in the balance.

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Sign up for
The Memo Newsletter

Get the biggest stories and best analysis on the business of sports delivered to your inbox twice every weekday and twice on weekends.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

Kenny Albert Fox Sports

Kenny Albert on His Broadcasting Family, 60 Stadiums, Missing RedZone

Albert is Fox’s longest-tenured NFL play-by-play man.
NBC Sports Mike Tomlin
Opinion

Mike Tomlin Shines in NBC Sports Debut

Tomlin’s regular-season debut was one of the highlights of NBC’s coverage.

Novig CEO: Sydney Sweeney Ad Puts Us in ‘National Discourse’

Sweeney got equity in the company, and the racy ad went viral.

Prediction Market Ad Blitz Gets Backlash

Platforms are trying to capitalize on the start of the NFL season.
podcast thumbnail mobile
Front Office Sports Today

A Conversation with Noah Eagle on Calling the 49ers vs Rams Netflix Game in Australia

0:00

Featured Today

Oct 4, 2025; Tempe, AZ, USA; General action during the first period of the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils and the Penn State Nittany Lions at Mullett Arena

How Military-Style Workouts in College Sports Get Dangerous

For elite athletes, high-intensity training can be “very appealing.”
September 6, 2026

Is Carolyn Tisch Blodgett the Future Face of Giants Ownership?

Amid changes at top of Giants ownership, eyes are on Tisch Blodgett.
September 4, 2026

Wild Transfer Window Shows How Premier League Towers Over Soccer

Spending in England vastly outstripped the rest of Europe.
September 3, 2026

Teams Are Spending Millions to Build Luxury Locker Rooms

It’s a recruiting pitch, a retention tool, and a seven-figure line item.
September 1, 2026

High School Football Sidelines Are Clogged With Content Creators

Administrators call these amateur newcomers the “pajama paparazzi.”
Sep 9, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers two-way player Shohei Ohtani (17) looks on during the first inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Dodger Stadium.

Ohtani Heads to Injured List as Dodgers Aim for Third Title

The two-way phenom is making a rare trip to the injured list.
Aug 30, 2026; Woodland Hills, CA, USA; Los Angeles Rams coach Sean McVay at practice at the Rams Practice Facility
September 5, 2026

Why Are the Niners and Rams Getting to Australia a Week Apart?

The 49ers are already there, while the Rams have yet to leave.
September 8, 2026

Mayfield, Bucs Break Impasse With Three-Year Extension

The deal runs through the 2029 season.
Sponsored

Drew Weatherford’s Bet on the Youth Sports Economy

Drew Weatherford discusses investing across the youth, college and professional levels.
Washington Redskins football shirts and a team flag on sale at a sporting goods store in Bailey's Crossroads, Virginia, U.S., June 24, 2020. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque
September 4, 2026

Native Leaders to Commanders: Drop Old Name for Good

The franchise says there are no plans to revert to its old name.
Aug 25, 2017; Seattle, WA, USA; General overall view of Seattle Seahawks logo at CenturyLink Field during a NFL football game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Exclusive
September 4, 2026

Mark Stevens Is Seahawks’ Top Minority Investor

Other investors joined the Seahawks’ new ownership from the Mittal-Grousbeck group.
September 3, 2026

Clippers Sanctions Pair With Already Bleak Media Outlook

The team will likely be much harder to watch this season.
September 2, 2026

Read the NBA’s Report on Clippers, Kawhi Leonard, and Aspiration

The league found the Clippers illegally went around the salary cap.