Wednesday, August 26, 2026
The FOS App Launches September 1 Pre-save on the App Store Today

MLB Payroll Trends Turned Upside Down At All-Star Break

  • Historical trends being inverted this year like never before
  • Low returns on unprecedented spending likely to bring large consequences
The Mets have been a disappointment this season.
Syndication: Arizona Republic

After more than a generation of MLB team payrolls closely tied to on-field success, that model is being inverted like never before.

Entering this week’s All-Star Break, the New York Mets — owners of MLB’s highest payroll ever at $348 million — are out of playoff position and openly musing about dismantling their current roster. A similar situation exists in San Diego, where the $246 million Padres — also below .500 after franchise-record offseason spending — are wondering what’s gone wrong.

Meanwhile, two of the three lowest-spending MLB teams and four of the bottom six are squarely in postseason contention, while the top four and five of the top six are currently not in playoff position.  

“It’s terrible,” Mets owner Steve Cohen said of his team’s situation. “That’s not what I expected.”

For more than two decades, MLB has wrestled with the effects of payroll disparity, which have deeply impacted multiple rounds of labor negotiations, caused numerous internal schisms between teams and individual owners, and led the league to create an economic reform committee last year.

But as teams like the $76 million Tampa Bay Rays — operating under near-constant sale rumors and without a modern ballpark — more than hold their own, more executives are openly questioning what strategy is truly best.

“You’ve heard me say numerous times now that I shouldn’t need a $300 million payroll to win a world championship,” said Hal Steinbrenner, managing general partner of the New York Yankees — who nevertheless are spending $280 million this year but sit a game out of the final AL Wild Card slot.

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Sign up for
The Memo Newsletter

Get the biggest stories and best analysis on the business of sports delivered to your inbox twice every weekday and twice on weekends.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

Aug 25, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; San Francisco Giants first baseman Rafael Devers (16) and San Francisco Giants center fielder Drew Gilbert (0) celebrate after scoring against the Cincinnati Reds during the first inning at Oracle Park.
Exclusive

Kalshi Incorrectly Claimed Deals With Giants, Braves Were Exclusive

The prediction-market platform says the mistake was an accident.
Mark Walter, CEO of Guggenheim Partners, speaks during a reception hosted by U.S. President Donald Trump for the reigning Major League Baseball (MLB) World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers in the Rose Garden at the White House, Washington, D.C., U.S., July 23, 2026.

Walter’s Company Says There’s No Fraud, No Victim, and No Fire Sale

TWG Global insists the Dodgers are not up for grabs.

Kalshi Lands 5 MLB Teams as Prediction-Market Boom Continues

Other teams are maintaining distance from the industry.
Aug 24, 2026; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego Padres center fielder Jackson Merrill (3) reacts after striking out during the eighth inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Petco Park.

Padres Will ‘Live Within Our Means,’ New Owners Say

The Padres rank seventh in the league in luxury tax payroll.
podcast thumbnail mobile
Front Office Sports Today

A Conversation about Unrivaled’s $650M Valuation with Co-Founder Alex Bazzell

0:00

Featured Today

Deshaun Watson Has Done the Impossible: Unite Browns Fans

Watson was named the starter after complaining boos were “personal.”
August 23, 2026

Dan Snyder ‘Invisible’ in NFL Three Years After Commanders Sale

Snyder has had little to no contact with former NFL associates.
Soccer Football - Premier League - Arsenal v Burnley - Emirates Stadium, London, Britain - May 18, 2026 Arsenal's Kai Havertz scores their first goal past Burnley's Max Weiss
August 21, 2026

Why the Premier League’s Star-Power Shortage Doesn’t Matter

The world’s richest soccer league doesn’t rely on big stars to dominate.
August 12, 2026

Trendy Golf Hat Divide Is More Than a Fashion Fight

As golf has gotten trendier, so has the sport’s style.
Joey Spallina of the Maryland Whipsnakes
August 6, 2026

How Eye Black Became ‘War Paint’ on the Field

“You’re going into battle, doing something you only do on game days.”

Another LIV Vendor Ramps Up Legal Fight As Layoffs Hit League

Deltatre, a sports technology service provider, is suing LIV.
Aug 20, 2026; Saint Louis, Missouri, USA; Rory McIlroy waves to the crowd after playing his shot off of the twelfth tee during the first round of the BMW Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn Images
August 25, 2026

Rory McIlroy Backs ‘Big Swing’ Tour Championship Overhaul

The changes will come in the 2028 season.
August 26, 2026

Unrivaled Valued at $650M After Latest Funding, Players Own 30%

Unrivaled will move out of its Florida arena in 2028.
Sponsored

Kerri Walsh Jennings’s Playbook for the Future of Volleyball

The former gold medalist talks NCAA, the Olympics, & investing in volleyball.
Mar 14, 2026; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; View of an NHL logo on a jersey worn by a linesman during the third period at Bell Centre.
August 25, 2026

NHL Moving Closer to Expansion in Thriving Sun Belt Market

The league continues efforts toward a 33rd team, and maybe a 34th.
First at FOS
August 25, 2026

NFL Will Continue Strict Taunting Crackdown in 2026

Taunting and celebrations will again be points of emphasis.
Apr 13, 2025; Augusta, Georgia, USA; Bryson DeChambeau and Rory McIlroy shake hands on no. 18 during the final round of the Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club.
August 25, 2026

PGA Tour Not Offering Another Lifeline to LIV Players Just Yet

LIV’s future is uncertain after its 2026 season ended.
Jan 8, 2026; Glendale, AZ, USA; Mississippi Rebels tight end Dae'quan Wright (8) makes a touchdown catch against the Miami Hurricanes in the second half during the 2026 Fiesta Bowl and semifinal game of the College Football Playoff at State Farm Stadium.
August 24, 2026

More NFL Players Considering College Returns

Dae’Quan Wright can return to college thanks to a lawsuit he filed.