Monday, August 31, 2026
The FOS App Launches September 1 Pre-save on the App Store Today

How To Understand Mattress Mack’s Big March Madness Bet

  • The Texas businessman bet $1 million on Houston to win the NCAA tournament.
  • A scheme involving his furniture store takes the risk out of his wager.
Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston men’s basketball team is +600 at most sportsbooks to win the NCAA tournament as a No. 1 seed for the second straight year, this time in the South region, and chances are you’ve probably heard of the school’s biggest backer.

Jim McIngvale, better known as “Mattress Mack,” has already wagered $1 million on the Cougars to cut down the nets at the end of March Madness and win their first national championship. But it’s not because he has an inside tip or even a strong inkling that Houston will be victorious. The Texas-based business mogul, owner of the Gallery Furniture retail chain, routinely makes headlines around big sporting events for his big bets—but in reality his wagers carry far less risk than it might seem, thanks to a fairly simple scheme.

Here’s how it works:

  • Gallery Furniture runs a promotion: In this case, customers who purchase a mattress of $4,000 or more get it for free if Houston wins the NCAA tournament.
  • Once enough mattresses are bought, McIngvale then places a bet on Houston to cover his potential losses.
  • This year’s $1 million bet was placed at +750 odds, meaning McIngvale would profit $7.5 million. 
  • If Houston wins, Gallery Furniture could refund up to 1,875 $4,000 mattress purchases.
  • As long as at least 250 mattresses were purchased, those sales would cover McIngvale’s bet.
  • If Houston loses, he’s out his $1 million, but he’s also sold a boatload of mattresses with the enticing deal.

McIngvale won $72.6 million from betting on the Astros to win the World Series in 2022. But he’s also had his fair share of losses, like the $4.1 million he put on Houston to win last year’s NCAA tournament. So, no matter how Houston finishes in March Madness, don’t feel too bad or get too impressed with Mattress Mack’s “bet.”

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Sign up for
The Memo Newsletter

Get the biggest stories and best analysis on the business of sports delivered to your inbox twice every weekday and twice on weekends.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

Dec 20, 2025; Oxford, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels tight end Dae'Quan Wright (8) runs after the catch against the Tulane Green Wave during the first half of a game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

The Week That Broke College Football: Everything to Know

Football has been turned upside down as NFL players try to return.
Oct 8, 2025; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Memphis Grizzlies forward Cedric Coward (23) drives to the basket as Boston Celtics guard RJ Luis Jr. (12) defends during the fourth quarter at FedExForum

College Basketball In Crosshairs of Pro-Athlete Eligibility Chaos

The Big 12, SEC, and ACC have extended bans to include basketball.
Dec 20, 2025; Oxford, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels tight end Dae'Quan Wright (8) runs after a catch as Tulane Green Wave linebacker Sam Howard (15) makes the tackle during the third quarter at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Big Ten, SEC Ban NFL Players From Returning

Other power conferences and the American are considering the same move.
Oct 22, 2019; Houston, TX, USA; The Houston Astros logo is seen during the third inning of game one of the 2019 World Series against the Washington Nationals at Minute Maid Park. Mandatory Credit: Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

Astros Part Ways With Dana Brown, Jim Crane Takes Over Baseball Ops

The MLB club owner again appoints himself to a temporary front-office role.
podcast thumbnail mobile
Front Office Sports Today

A Conversation with Hall of Fame Coach Geno Auriemma on the UConn Dynasty and NIL Chaos

0:00

Featured Today

Aug 3, 2026; Washington, D.C., USA; Alexandra Eala (PHI) kisses the championship trophy during the trophy ceremony after her match against Jessica Pegula (USA) (not pictured) in the women's singles final of the 2026 Mubadala DC Open at Rock Creek Park Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

How Alex Eala Turned the Philippines Into a Tennis Nation

A December homecoming match could break tennis’s attendance record.
August 26, 2026

Deshaun Watson Has Done the Impossible: Unite Browns Fans

Watson was named the starter after complaining boos were “personal.”
August 23, 2026

Dan Snyder ‘Invisible’ in NFL Three Years After Commanders Sale

Snyder has had little to no contact with former NFL associates.
Soccer Football - Premier League - Arsenal v Burnley - Emirates Stadium, London, Britain - May 18, 2026 Arsenal's Kai Havertz scores their first goal past Burnley's Max Weiss
August 21, 2026

Why the Premier League’s Star-Power Shortage Doesn’t Matter

The world’s richest soccer league doesn’t rely on big stars to dominate.
August 12, 2026

Trendy Golf Hat Divide Is More Than a Fashion Fight

As golf has gotten trendier, so has the sport’s style.
Aug 13, 2026; Metairie, LA, USA; Detailed view of the NFL logo on the football during a joint scrimmage between the New Orleans Saints and the Jacksonville Jaguars during at Ochsner Sports Performance Center

NFL Won’t Reach Prediction-Market Deals Before Start of Season

“I would be incredibly shocked if anything at all happens this season.”
Fanduel logo appears in this illustration taken April 22, 2026.
August 6, 2026

Gambling Industry Gears Up for ‘Arms Race’ This NFL Season

“Competition is fierce,” BetMGM CEO Adam Greenblatt said.
Sports are shown on TVs behind a bar as guests enjoy the grand opening of DraftKings Sports & Social in Ohio.
August 7, 2026

DraftKings, FanDuel Downplay Prediction-Market Cannibalization

Traditional sportsbooks have a new set of competitors.
Sponsored

Kerri Walsh Jennings’s Playbook for the Future of Volleyball

The former gold medalist talks NCAA, the Olympics, & investing in volleyball.
July 30, 2026

WNBA Posts, Deletes Video of Apparent Bueckers-Reese Bet

The CBA includes strict prohibitions against players wagering on games.
July 28, 2026

NBA, MLB Want More Say in Prediction Markets

The NBA said a new rules proposal “falls well short.”
Feb 5, 2026; San Francisco, CA, USA; A NFL shield logo at the NFL Honors Red Carpet before Super Bowl LX at Palace of Fine Arts.
July 28, 2026

NFL Sounds Alarm on ‘Objectionable’ Prediction Markets

The league flagged a number of concerns as the deadline for public comments hit.
In this photo illustration, a mobile device displays the Kalshi logo while a laptop displays the webpage of the prediction market platform in Copenhagen, Denmark, on February 10, 2026. (Photo by Kristian Tuxen Ladegaard Berg/NurPhoto)
July 24, 2026

Kalshi Says Screenshot in Netflix Trailer Was ‘Fabricated’

The prediction-market platform is demanding Netflix take the trailer down immediately.