Sunday, July 5, 2026

Betting Public Is ‘All Over’ Serena Williams at US Open

  • Williams has the most US Open future bets at multiple sportsbooks.
  • She is an underdog for her Wednesday night match against Anett Kontaveit.
Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports

In light of her retirement announcement earlier in August, Serena Williams’ career will come to a close when she exits the US Open — whether by way of loss or Grand Slam No. 24.

Many around the country are betting that won’t happen just yet — and some very brave ones think she won’t lose at all.

Several U.S. sportsbooks have been experiencing both high volume and high percentage of bets on Williams during her run in Flushing Meadows, which began with a two-set victory over Danka Kovinic in the first round and continues Wednesday night against tournament No. 2 seed Anett Kontaveit.

“People want to be involved in the story,” says Caesars Sportsbook assistant director of trading Adam Pullen. “It would be great for her to end her career as US Open champion, it would be one of the greatest sporting stories ever.”

Books might be taking action on Serena’s story having a happy ending — but her play in recent months isn’t convincing everyone.

  • Caesars: Highest percentage of bets (25%) and money (20%).
  • DraftKings: 1st in bets (26.1%), and 2nd in money (12.6%) behind Iga Swiatek (45.4%).
  • PointsBet: 5th in bets, 4th in money (10%); Swiatek leads both (31.3% and 38%).

Online books aren’t the only ones feeling the heat: A source at Las Vegas’ Westgate SuperBook told Front Office Sports that bets on Serena at +5000 have “created some liability for us.”

That pressure for the books is only going to intensify if Serena can keep advancing.

“We’ve got quite a bit of liability on her to win this whole thing and it’s increasing,” says DraftKings Director of Race & Sportsbook Operations Johnny Avello. “She was 45-1. Now she’s 22-1. And they’re gonna keep betting her two to win the whole thing, thinking that maybe this is her last hurrah.”

“People know her pedigree and that when Serena’s motivated and focused, she’s capable of anything, even if she hasn’t played for a while,” Pullen says. “If she gets past this match, it’s just going to build and build.”

As for Wednesday’s match, Williams finds herself in rare territory: She’s around a +200 underdog for her match against Kontaveit.

Of course, that has attracted the attention of Williams’ betting faithful.

The 40-year-old is seeing upwards of 70% of the bets and 63% of the money at Caesars and DraftKings.

“The public is all over her right now,” says Avello.

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Sign up for
The Memo Newsletter

Get the biggest stories and best analysis on the business of sports delivered to your inbox twice every weekday and twice on weekends.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

Serena Williams Withdraws From Wimbledon With Knee Injury

Williams lost to Maya Joint in her singles return Tuesday.
Jun 30, 2026; London, United Kingdom; Serena Williams of the United States returns a shot during her match against Maya Joint of Australia on day two at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Serena Singles Return Draws Record Wimbledon Ratings for ESPN

Williams’s status for doubles remains in question.
FILE PHOTO: Tennis - WTA Finals - Riyadh - King Saud University Indoor Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia - November 8, 2025 Belarus' Aryna Sabalenka in action during her final match against Kazakhstan's Elena Rybakina

WTA Finals Moves to Indian Wells After Ending Saudi Arabia Deal

The deal between the WTA and Indian Wells is only for one year.

Trump Says His Free Sports Tickets Were Worth $122K in 2025

The gifts included Super Bowl, Ryder Cup, and US Open tickets.
podcast thumbnail mobile
Front Office Sports Today

7/3/26 – USMNT Round of 16 Ticket Frenzy, NBA Tests New Free Throw Rule, Ovechkin Returns, Country Roads Takes Over

0:00

Featured Today

ATLANTA, GA - September 05: Georgia Lottery fireworks after the game against the Seattle Mariners at Truist Park on Friday, September 5, 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia.

Inside the Spectacle and Science of MLB Fireworks

Postgame fireworks are lighting up baseball for America250.
Kansas City Chiefs
July 1, 2026

NFL Teams Push to Turn Futbol Fans Into Football Devotees

NFL teams are courting international soccer fans during their World Cup visits.
June 26, 2026

What We Saw Traveling the U.S. for the World Cup Group Stage

The knockout stage begins Sunday.
June 26, 2026

In an Era of $1,000 Tickets, $10 Watch Parties Bring Fans Together

Stadium watch parties now rival home-game experiences.
June 25, 2026

Italian Americans Have Severe World Cup FOMO

Bars and restaurants in Boston, Philly, and beyond are missing the Azzurri.
FILE PHOTO: Signage is seen outside of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in Washington, D.C., U.S., August 30, 2020.

Novig Founder Isn’t Worried About Kalshi, Polymarket’s Head Start

The Novig CEO says prediction markets are a better product than traditional sportsbooks.
June 29, 2026

Malik Beasley Latest NBA Player Indicted in Federal Gambling Probe

Beasley coordinated with Ed Davis to fix games, according to the indictment.
June 30, 2026

Jordan Spieth Says Betting Is Changing Golf—and Could Affect Outcomes

The golfer suggested U.S. Open fans were betting against Wyndham Clark.
Sponsored

Josh Childress: Why Now Is the Time for NBA Expansion

Josh Childress on why he invested in the Portland Thorns, the case for NBA expansion, and donating to Stanford NIL.
Kentucky Attorney General Russell Coleman sits for an interview at his office in Frankfort, Ky., on Dec. 18, 2025.
June 23, 2026

CFTC Sues Kentucky After State Takes Aim at Kalshi, Polymarket

Kentucky is the ninth state the CFTC has sued since April.
Kalshi's logo is displayed on a smartphone placed on a reflective surface onto which a betting curve is projected in Creteil, France, on March 9, 2026, during a major scandal and a $54 million lawsuit concerning bets related to recent strikes in Iran. (Photo by Samuel Boivin/NurPhoto)NO USE FRANCE
June 19, 2026

Kalshi’s Tarek Mansour Talks Giannis, Don Jr., Supreme Court

The Kalshi cofounder discussed critics, CFTC rulemaking, and more.
Reuters FILE PHOTO: Kalshi logo appears in this illustration created on April 22, 2026.
June 17, 2026

Kalshi CEO Downplays Polymarket Rivalry

Tarek Mansour says Polymarket’s scandals risk sullying the entire industry.
In this photo illustration, a mobile device displays the Kalshi logo while a laptop displays the webpage of the prediction market platform in Copenhagen, Denmark, on February 10, 2026. (Photo by Kristian Tuxen Ladegaard Berg/NurPhoto)
June 11, 2026

CFTC’s Proposed Rules Won’t Quiet Prediction-Market Critics

Markets tied to physical altercations or referee decisions would be flagged.