Tuesday, April 21, 2026
opinion
College Sports

Something New in College Football This Year: Parity

  • The current AP top 25 is not full of the usual suspects, and the season’s first CFP rankings come out Tuesday.
  • Major shifts to the business of college football are partially to thank for the parity, but not entirely.
Vanderbilt Commodores fans head to the south end zone as the goal post is taken down by exuberant fans after beating No. 1 Alabama 40-35 at Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tenn., Saturday, Oct. 5, 2024.
Denny Simmons/Imagn Images
Nov 3, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Monday Night Football commentator Joe Buck before the game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Arizona Cardinals at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
Exclusive

Joe Buck Expected To Host ‘ESPN Jeopardy!’

Celebrities and ESPN talent are expected to be contestants.
Read Now
April 21, 2026 |

When Alabama faced Vanderbilt on Oct. 5, Alabama was 4–0, No. 1 ranked, and it looked like in the first year of the post–Nick Saban era, the Crimson Tide were set to roll to the College Football Playoff as usual. (Alabama has made the Playoff in eight of the 10 years since the CFP replaced the old BCS system, and won it in three of those years.)

But then Alabama lost to a 2–2, unranked Vandy team. And then Alabama lost again, two weeks later, to Tennessee. This year’s preseason No. 1 Georgia has already lost once. So has Ohio State. This is the first year since 2007 that no SEC team is undefeated at the start of November.

This is the first year of the expanded 12-team Playoff, and in two days we’ll get the season’s first CFP rankings. The Week 10 AP top 25 poll has a slew of names we are not used to seeing there, including BYU, Indiana, Pitt, SMU, and Army.

Meanwhile in the NFL, the Chiefs are 7–0, and look destined to three-peat. Snooze. A recent Wall Street Journal headline nails it: “They’re the NFL’s Best Team. Why Are They So Boring?”

In the college game right now, it feels like anything can happen on any given Saturday.

“Since the start of the CFP era, college football has had a parity problem,” says our FOS college sports reporter Amanda Christovich. “A rotation of the same teams made the four-team bracket each year, leaving little room for the ‘Cinderella story’ effect college basketball has captured so well.” Now, with the 12-team format, we’re guaranteed more surprises—if not quite Cinderellas. 

In the last few years we’ve seen major sea changes in college athletics: the rise of NIL (name, image, and likeness) deals, allowing schools to lure players with promises of a payday from boosters; conference realignment mania, which in football has meant an expanded SEC and Big Ten; and the loosening of transfer portal restrictions, allowing players to jump schools more than once in a year. 

Are those changes prompting the parity on the field? It’s complicated. 

NIL and the transfer portal have “helped level the playing field,” in Christovich’s view. “If donors put up the money, they can help their schools elevate to the next level almost immediately by recruiting players with unlimited opportunities to switch teams.” That is the effect that schools like Indiana and Vanderbilt have harnessed to their advantage this year.

ESPN’s Pat McAfee sounds like he agrees. Saturday morning on ESPN’s College GameDay from the campus of No. 3 Penn State before its game against No. 4 Ohio State, he remarked, “I think the big story of this game, and this season with the top-5 matchups, is not only the expansion of conference realignment and everything like that, but this transfer portal and NIL has really delivered for us as college football fans.”

I also asked ESPN college sports reporter David Hale for his take, and he is not as convinced that the sport’s structural changes are directly to thank for parity on the field. “It is unquestionably a year that has afforded more surprise good teams, and I would struggle to say there’s a clear-cut great team,” he says. “But I’m still a bit of a pessimist that the rich don’t consistently get richer. I think this is probably an exception year, rather than a new rule.”

The ability to use NIL money to get top recruits, plus the freedom of those recruits to jump into the transfer portal, creates a situation basically akin to free agency in other pro sports. And just like in other sports, Hale points out, “You can win in free agency, but you can also put together a really expensive roster that stinks.”

The onset of the 12-team Playoff makes Tuesday’s CFP rankings release even more anticipated than in a typical year. (I can’t think of anything else happening Tuesday, can you?) The 12-team structure means two losses isn’t an automatic death knell. Alabama, even with two losses, could very well still get in. Me? I’ll be rooting for the underdogs and reveling in the college chaos. 

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Sign up for
The Memo Newsletter

Get the biggest stories and best analysis on the business of sports delivered to your inbox twice every weekday and twice on weekends.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

Apr 18, 2026; Fort Worth, TX, USA; The University of Minnesota gymnastics team poses with their trophy after finishing in fourth place in the 2026 NCAA Women’s Gymnastics National Championships at Dickies Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

ESPN Defends NCAA Gymnastics Broadcast After Minnesota Backlash

Minnesota blasted ESPN for showing its routines less than other teams.
Jan 9, 2026; Atlanta, GA, USA; Oregon Ducks tight end Jamari Johnson (9) makes catch for a touchdown against Indiana Hoosiers defensive back D'Angelo Ponds (5) during the first quarter of the 2025 Peach Bowl and semifinal game of the College Football Playoff at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Latest Dispute Over NIL Go Could End Any Semblance of a Salary Cap

The heart of the current issue is over the definition of “associated entities.”
Feb 25, 2026; Indianapolis, IN, USA; New England Patriots coach Mike Vrabel speaks during the NFL Scouting Combine at the Indiana Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Vrabel: Russini Photos Led to ‘Difficult Conversations’

Vrabel previously called the interactions ”completely innocent.”
Quinnipiac women's varsity rugby

The Death of Quinnipiac Women’s Varsity Rugby

The sudden decision at Ilona Maher’s alma mater left players blindsided.

Featured Today

The Lawyer Steering the NIL Era

In the new era of college sports, Darren Heitner is everywhere.
blake griffin
April 14, 2026

Inside Blake Griffin’s Rookie Season at Prime Video

The six-time All-Star was initially hesitant to enter the media space.
Matthew Schaefer/Front Office Sports
April 10, 2026

Matthew Schaefer Has the Hockey World in His Thrall

The teenage Islanders defenseman cannon-balled into the NHL.
April 9, 2026

College Athletes Are Ignoring NCAA Gambling Bans

“We were going to bet regardless,” says one former D-I athlete.
April 20, 2026

Top Transfer Audi Crooks Picks Oklahoma State in Surprise Move

Crooks played her first three seasons at Iowa State.
April 20, 2026

The QB Class That Reshaped a New Era of College Football

College football’s transfer portal and revenue-sharing picked up in 2025.
Sponsored

Why Brandon Marshall Bet on Athlete-Owned Media

Brandon Marshall on athlete media, life after football, building I AM ATHLETE.
April 19, 2026

March Madness Hero Braylon Mullins Will Stay at UConn

The Huskies star will return for his sophomore season.
April 17, 2026

Cignetti: Indiana’s Title-Winning Roster Cost Well Under $40M

Indiana defeated Miami in the CFP title game. 
Ohio State Buckeyes quarterback Julian Sayin (10) throws during the Cotton Bowl at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas for the College Football Playoff quarterfinal game against the Miami Hurricanes on Dec. 31, 2025.
exclusive
April 15, 2026

Private Equity Burrows Deeper Into College Sports

Arctos had a previously unreported stake in Learfield, sources told FOS.
April 15, 2026

Michaela Onyenwere Made $205K With UCLA Before WNBA Payday

Onyenwere spent the past season as a UCLA assistant.