• Loading stock data...
Thursday, February 27, 2025
Join us on March 5 at 1 p.m. ET for Future of Sports: Sea Change in College Sports. Register Now

Why the Race to Cut College Athlete Taxes Creates a Recruiting ‘Prisoner’s Dilemma’

The potential pitfalls of the legislation could outweigh the benefits, according to two tax experts who spoke with Front Office Sports.

Feb 22, 2025; Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA; Florida Gators guard Alijah Martin (15) dribbles against LSU Tigers guard Cam Carter (5) during the first half at Pete Maravich Assembly Center.
Stephen Lew-Imagn Images

State lawmakers have discovered a potential weapon in the college sports recruiting arms race: NIL (name, image, and likeness) tax exemptions.

Throughout the past several months, legislators in Georgia, Alabama, and Illinois have introduced bills that would exempt NIL deals from state income taxes. Legislators in Louisiana are reportedly about to introduce a bill of their own. The goal, they hope, is to entice recruits to their flagship universities, both strengthening their rosters and potentially earning more money through more ticket sales. 

But the potential pitfalls of such legislation could outweigh the benefits, according to two tax experts who spoke with Front Office Sports. Giving athletes a tax break means states would ultimately sign away their ability to earn extra tax revenue without any meaningful impact in recruiting or increased athletics earnings.

NIL earnings have become a key factor in players’ decisions of where to enroll or transfer—and they’re expected to become even more important in the potential revenue-sharing era. But they aren’t the only factor.

Some say offering tax incentives wouldn’t even improve recruiting because of the disparities in state tax laws that already exist. Katie Davis, a partner at James Moore & Co. consulting firm that works with athletic departments nationwide, notes that Florida, for example, doesn’t have any state income tax, while other programs, even within the SEC, reside in states that do. Since the NIL era began in 2021, she says, there’s no evidence of a major recruiting advantage because of that tax disparity. 

“I think what would probably move the dial in recruiting more would be if coaches had tax professionals on retainer,” Davis tells FOS.

The main reason why tax incentives for players aren’t an effective tool is what University of Central Arkansas economics professor Jacob Bundrick describes as a “prisoner’s dilemma.” If multiple states begin introducing NIL tax breaks, it ceases to become a competitive edge for schools. 

“If you’re the first mover on this [policy] there might be an advantage,” Bundrick, who has studied the impact of state tax incentives in the sports industry and beyond, tells FOS. “But if there really is an advantage, and we see that in terms of spending and enrollment, you can expect that other states will follow.” At that point, having a favorable tax policy becomes a matter of keeping a level playing field, rather than providing a significant competitive boost. 

Meanwhile, states could lose out on potentially valuable tax revenue.

Illinois state senator Travis Weaver argued that, because the NIL industry is new, relinquishing tax revenue from NIL deals isn’t actually losing out on tax earnings. “The nice thing about this is it’s not existing revenue, which I think makes it a lot easier,” he told CBS Sports. “It’s hard to cut a tax when it’s something that you have been collecting and it’s baked into your budget, whereas this, we’ve never been taxing, NIL [income], not to mention that there hasn’t really been any, right? I mean, this is just such a wild, wild west.” 

Bundrick disagrees. NIL deals are just a new deployment of capital that companies would already be using elsewhere if NIL opportunities didn’t exist. “If anything, it’s simply a shift within the way that they are going about spending those advertising dollars,” he says.

He also notes that income tax specifically is supposed to draw from a broad pool of earners—and the more legislators “whittle down” those groups, the more income tax rates end up burdening the rest of the population. 

“Most economists would say that this is bad tax policy.” says Bundrick.

Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

Jan 29, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Suns forward Kevin Durant (35) against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Footprint Center.

What’s Next for Kevin Durant After a Likely Suns Split?

ESPN’s Brian Windhorst expects Durant to be traded this summer.
ESPN Bet

$2B ESPN Bet Deal in Trouble As Penn Mentions 2026 Opt-Out

The ESPN Bet operator suggests it might exit the sports betting deal.
Feb 5, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; San Antonio Spurs center Victor Wembanyama (1) in action against the Atlanta Hawks in the fourth quarter at State Farm Arena.

Court Declines to Block Auction House’s Sale of Wembanyama Jersey

The fan’s father had sought a temporary injunction against the auction house.
Fury vs Wilder III

Top Rank Stiffed ‘Fixer’ Millions in Pay: Lawsuit

Keane is described as a “fixer,” who helped land fighters and managed the ESPN relationship.

Featured Today

Feb 12, 2023; Glendale, Arizona, US; A$AP Rocky on the sideline after halftime during Super Bowl LVII at State Farm Stadium.

A$AP Rocky Could Be Latest Celebrity Owner in English Soccer

Following his acquittal, the rapper is closer to owning Tranmere Rovers.
February 27, 2025

The Stylist Outfitting a Stacked Roster of Women’s Basketball Stars

Sydney Bordonaro is weaving fashion into the sport’s DNA.
Jul 7, 2024; Silvis, Illinois, USA; Jason Day hits his tee shot on the second hole during the final round of the John Deere Classic golf tournament.
February 26, 2025

The PGA Tour Dress Code Is Anyone’s Guess

The line for what’s fashionably acceptable is open to interpretation.
Feb 18, 2015; Tempe, AZ, USA; Arizona State Sun Devils former guard James Harden reacts as he has his number retired during a halftime ceremony against the UCLA Bruins at Wells-Fargo Arena.
exclusive
February 25, 2025

The NBA Stars Fueling the NIL Arms Race

“It’s almost like burnt money, right?” Hawks forward Georges Niang said.
UNC basketball players
February 25, 2025

Powerful NBA Agent Jim Tanner Likely Taking Pay Cut to Become UNC..

Tanner, a UNC grad, is one of the league’s most influential agents.
Elizabeth Williams
exclusive
February 26, 2025

WNBA Players Rip Big Ten, SEC for Refusing to Meet With Players

A new group is seeking a meeting with conference commissioners.
Sponsored

How UBS Crafts Impactful Partnerships Across Sports, Arts, and Culture

As UBS continues to expand its impressive array of sports and entertainment partnerships, the company solidifies its position as a leader in wealth management.
Dec 14, 2024; Syracuse, New York, USA; Georgetown Hoyas guard Micah Peavy (5) drives against Syracuse Orange guard Elijah Moore (8) during the first half at the JMA Wireless Dome.
February 24, 2025

How Viable Is a Big East–ACC Merger?

The concept could be a media-rights contract nightmare.
February 23, 2025

Fresno State Investigated as 2 Players Reportedly Bet on Own Games

Jalen Weaver and Zaon Collins were suspended for at least one game.
Dec 31, 2024; Durham, North Carolina, USA; Virginia Tech Hokies forward Tobi Lawal (1) and Duke Blue Devils center Khaman Maluach (9) battle for the opening tip during the first half at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
February 21, 2025

House v. NCAA Settlement Creates Potential Crisis for International Athletes

Revenue-sharing payments could violate international student visa laws.
Sen. Brandon Creighton, R-Conroe, debates SB 2, the school voucher bill, at the Capitol Wednesday February 5, 2025.
February 21, 2025

Texas State Lawmakers Introduce Bills to Limit International Athlete Scholarships

Only 25% of athletic financial assistance would be available to non-U.S. citizens.