Thursday, September 17, 2026

Why the Race to Cut College Athlete Taxes Creates a Recruiting ‘Prisoner’s Dilemma’

The potential pitfalls of the legislation could outweigh the benefits, according to two tax experts who spoke with Front Office Sports.

Feb 22, 2025; Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA; Florida Gators guard Alijah Martin (15) dribbles against LSU Tigers guard Cam Carter (5) during the first half at Pete Maravich Assembly Center.
Stephen Lew-Imagn Images

State lawmakers have discovered a potential weapon in the college sports recruiting arms race: NIL (name, image, and likeness) tax exemptions.

Throughout the past several months, legislators in Georgia, Alabama, and Illinois have introduced bills that would exempt NIL deals from state income taxes. Legislators in Louisiana are reportedly about to introduce a bill of their own. The goal, they hope, is to entice recruits to their flagship universities, both strengthening their rosters and potentially earning more money through more ticket sales. 

But the potential pitfalls of such legislation could outweigh the benefits, according to two tax experts who spoke with Front Office Sports. Giving athletes a tax break means states would ultimately sign away their ability to earn extra tax revenue without any meaningful impact in recruiting or increased athletics earnings.

NIL earnings have become a key factor in players’ decisions of where to enroll or transfer—and they’re expected to become even more important in the potential revenue-sharing era. But they aren’t the only factor.

Some say offering tax incentives wouldn’t even improve recruiting because of the disparities in state tax laws that already exist. Katie Davis, a partner at James Moore & Co. consulting firm that works with athletic departments nationwide, notes that Florida, for example, doesn’t have any state income tax, while other programs, even within the SEC, reside in states that do. Since the NIL era began in 2021, she says, there’s no evidence of a major recruiting advantage because of that tax disparity. 

“I think what would probably move the dial in recruiting more would be if coaches had tax professionals on retainer,” Davis tells FOS.

The main reason why tax incentives for players aren’t an effective tool is what University of Central Arkansas economics professor Jacob Bundrick describes as a “prisoner’s dilemma.” If multiple states begin introducing NIL tax breaks, it ceases to become a competitive edge for schools. 

“If you’re the first mover on this [policy] there might be an advantage,” Bundrick, who has studied the impact of state tax incentives in the sports industry and beyond, tells FOS. “But if there really is an advantage, and we see that in terms of spending and enrollment, you can expect that other states will follow.” At that point, having a favorable tax policy becomes a matter of keeping a level playing field, rather than providing a significant competitive boost. 

Meanwhile, states could lose out on potentially valuable tax revenue.

Illinois state senator Travis Weaver argued that, because the NIL industry is new, relinquishing tax revenue from NIL deals isn’t actually losing out on tax earnings. “The nice thing about this is it’s not existing revenue, which I think makes it a lot easier,” he told CBS Sports. “It’s hard to cut a tax when it’s something that you have been collecting and it’s baked into your budget, whereas this, we’ve never been taxing, NIL [income], not to mention that there hasn’t really been any, right? I mean, this is just such a wild, wild west.” 

Bundrick disagrees. NIL deals are just a new deployment of capital that companies would already be using elsewhere if NIL opportunities didn’t exist. “If anything, it’s simply a shift within the way that they are going about spending those advertising dollars,” he says.

He also notes that income tax specifically is supposed to draw from a broad pool of earners—and the more legislators “whittle down” those groups, the more income tax rates end up burdening the rest of the population. 

“Most economists would say that this is bad tax policy.” says Bundrick.

This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Sign up for
The Memo Newsletter

Get the biggest stories and best analysis on the business of sports delivered to your inbox twice every weekday and twice on weekends.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

Sam Leavitt LSU

Sam Leavitt’s Injury Tag Sparks Skepticism Ahead of LSU–Ole Miss

Lane Kiffin has previously faced criticism for his handling of injury reports.
Sep 6, 2025; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels defensive coach Steve Belichick during the first quarter against the Charlotte 49ers at Jerry Richardson Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images

Steve Belichick Resigns As North Carolina Closes Investigation

Steve Belichick has been on medical leave since August.
Exclusive

LeBron James Polymarket Deal Worth $15 Million a Year

James is not an investor in Polymarket, just an endorser.

NFL Blocks Teams From Signing ex-LSU Players

Dae’Quan Wright’s agent says the tight end is exploring his legal options.
podcast thumbnail mobile
Front Office Sports Today

9/17/26 – CFB Ratings Surge, Joe Buck’s $108M Deal, Knicks Ticket Shock

0:00

Featured Today

Fantasy Football Drafts Are Turning Into Full-Blown Vacations

Leagues are foregoing solo drafts and replacing them with in-person getaways.
Oct 4, 2025; Tempe, AZ, USA; General action during the first period of the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils and the Penn State Nittany Lions at Mullett Arena
September 10, 2026

How Military-Style Workouts in College Sports Get Dangerous

For elite athletes, high-intensity training can be “very appealing.”
September 6, 2026

Is Carolyn Tisch Blodgett the Future Face of Giants Ownership?

Amid changes at top of Giants ownership, eyes are on Tisch Blodgett.
September 4, 2026

Wild Transfer Window Shows How Premier League Towers Over Soccer

Spending in England vastly outstripped the rest of Europe.
September 3, 2026

Teams Are Spending Millions to Build Luxury Locker Rooms

It’s a recruiting pitch, a retention tool, and a seven-figure line item.
Jay Williams Asset Class Front Office Sports
Exclusive

Jay Williams: ‘We All Participated’ in Cash Payments Before NIL

Williams said the payments came in “duffel bags” during the playful exchange.
September 15, 2026

Senators Stage Effort to Pass the Protect College Sports Act

An opposition coalition has formed to block the bill.
Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) looks to throw over Ohio State Buckeyes linebacker Payton Pierce (26) during the NCAA football game at Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas on Sept. 12, 2026. Texas won 24-23.
September 16, 2026

CFB Viewership Off to Hot Start After Texas–Ohio State Thriller

ABC averaged nearly 14 million viewers Saturday night.
Sponsored

Drew Weatherford’s Bet on the Youth Sports Economy

Drew Weatherford discusses investing across the youth, college and professional levels.
Nov 28, 2025; Austin, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning warms up before a game against the Texas A&M Aggies at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Wachter-Imagn Images
September 15, 2026

Arch Manning Apologizes to Holly Rowe for Joking About AI Video

Rowe says that she accepted Manning’s apology.
Sep 12, 2026; Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA; LSU Tigers head coach Lane Kiffin reacts to an intercept by Louisiana Tech Bulldogs during the first half at Tiger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-Imagn Images
September 15, 2026

Oxford Bulking Up Police Presence for Lane Kiffin’s Return

Ole Miss coach Pete Golding asked fans to be rowdy but respectful.
Ohio State Buckeyes safety Jaylen McClain (8) reacts to a missed interception during the NCAA football game against the Texas Longhorns at Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas on Sept. 12, 2026. Texas won 24-23.
September 14, 2026

How the 12-Team CFP Is Treating Ohio State and Oregon Differently

Meanwhile, Oklahoma’s and Oregon’s playoff odds took significant hits.
September 13, 2026

Texas Tops AP Poll As SEC Asserts Early Dominance Over Big Ten

The Longhorns topped the latest poll after their dramatic comeback win.