Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Why the Race to Cut College Athlete Taxes Creates a Recruiting ‘Prisoner’s Dilemma’

The potential pitfalls of the legislation could outweigh the benefits, according to two tax experts who spoke with Front Office Sports.

Feb 22, 2025; Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA; Florida Gators guard Alijah Martin (15) dribbles against LSU Tigers guard Cam Carter (5) during the first half at Pete Maravich Assembly Center.
Stephen Lew-Imagn Images

State lawmakers have discovered a potential weapon in the college sports recruiting arms race: NIL (name, image, and likeness) tax exemptions.

Throughout the past several months, legislators in Georgia, Alabama, and Illinois have introduced bills that would exempt NIL deals from state income taxes. Legislators in Louisiana are reportedly about to introduce a bill of their own. The goal, they hope, is to entice recruits to their flagship universities, both strengthening their rosters and potentially earning more money through more ticket sales. 

But the potential pitfalls of such legislation could outweigh the benefits, according to two tax experts who spoke with Front Office Sports. Giving athletes a tax break means states would ultimately sign away their ability to earn extra tax revenue without any meaningful impact in recruiting or increased athletics earnings.

NIL earnings have become a key factor in players’ decisions of where to enroll or transfer—and they’re expected to become even more important in the potential revenue-sharing era. But they aren’t the only factor.

Some say offering tax incentives wouldn’t even improve recruiting because of the disparities in state tax laws that already exist. Katie Davis, a partner at James Moore & Co. consulting firm that works with athletic departments nationwide, notes that Florida, for example, doesn’t have any state income tax, while other programs, even within the SEC, reside in states that do. Since the NIL era began in 2021, she says, there’s no evidence of a major recruiting advantage because of that tax disparity. 

“I think what would probably move the dial in recruiting more would be if coaches had tax professionals on retainer,” Davis tells FOS.

The main reason why tax incentives for players aren’t an effective tool is what University of Central Arkansas economics professor Jacob Bundrick describes as a “prisoner’s dilemma.” If multiple states begin introducing NIL tax breaks, it ceases to become a competitive edge for schools. 

“If you’re the first mover on this [policy] there might be an advantage,” Bundrick, who has studied the impact of state tax incentives in the sports industry and beyond, tells FOS. “But if there really is an advantage, and we see that in terms of spending and enrollment, you can expect that other states will follow.” At that point, having a favorable tax policy becomes a matter of keeping a level playing field, rather than providing a significant competitive boost. 

Meanwhile, states could lose out on potentially valuable tax revenue.

Illinois state senator Travis Weaver argued that, because the NIL industry is new, relinquishing tax revenue from NIL deals isn’t actually losing out on tax earnings. “The nice thing about this is it’s not existing revenue, which I think makes it a lot easier,” he told CBS Sports. “It’s hard to cut a tax when it’s something that you have been collecting and it’s baked into your budget, whereas this, we’ve never been taxing, NIL [income], not to mention that there hasn’t really been any, right? I mean, this is just such a wild, wild west.” 

Bundrick disagrees. NIL deals are just a new deployment of capital that companies would already be using elsewhere if NIL opportunities didn’t exist. “If anything, it’s simply a shift within the way that they are going about spending those advertising dollars,” he says.

He also notes that income tax specifically is supposed to draw from a broad pool of earners—and the more legislators “whittle down” those groups, the more income tax rates end up burdening the rest of the population. 

“Most economists would say that this is bad tax policy.” says Bundrick.

Linkedin
Whatsapp
Copy Link
Link Copied
Link Copied

What to Read

MLS Wants Yellow Card Betting Outlawed As it Bans Two Players

MLS said Derrick Jones and Yaw Yeboah bet on their own games.
Casey Wasserman, Chairperson and President of LA28, during the media conference celebrating the 1000-day countdown to LA28 at Devon Park in Oklahoma City, Monday, Oct. 20, 2025.

Wasserman Drops Wasserman Name Amid Epstein Fallout

The agency is now for sale after several prominent clients cut ties.
Dec 25, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) reacts during the second half against the Denver Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

Travis Kelce Return Delays Media Sweepstakes

The star tight end is expected to return to the Chiefs in 2026.

Live Nation Deal With DOJ Draws Pushback from Several States

The deal involving the Ticketmaster parent company draws widespread rebuke.

Featured Today

Alex Eala Has Become One of the Biggest Draws in Tennis

Eala will face Coco Gauff in the third round at Indian Wells.
Jun 9, 2021; Paris, France; The racket of Coco Gauff (USA) after she smashed it during her match against Barbora Krejcikova (CZE) on day 11 of the French Open at Stade Roland Garros
March 6, 2026

The ‘Rage Room’ Is the Hottest Place in Tennis

The idea came from a player podcast.
March 5, 2026

Mark DeRosa Is Still Baseball’s Swiss Army Knife

DeRosa is the sport’s utility player both on the field and off.
Nicole Silveira
March 3, 2026

The Tattoo Marking Membership in the Most Exclusive Club in Sports

For athletes, the Olympic rings tattoo is “about everything it took.”

Sun Belt’s Stepladder Format Is Producing Some March Chaos

The Sun Belt conference school has a chance at history Monday night.
Dec 18, 2011; Orchard Park, NY, USA; Miami Dolphins running back Reggie Bush (22) runs for a touchdown against the Buffalo Bills during the second half at Ralph Wilson Stadium.
March 6, 2026

Reggie Bush: NIL Era Wouldn’t Exist Without ‘My Story’

The former USC running back had his Heisman Trophy revoked for 14 years.
Saving College Sports White House roundtable
March 7, 2026

Inside President Trump’s Roundtable on College Sports

Trump said he’ll author an executive order to “solve every conceivable problem.”
Sponsored

Inside the Sports Experience Economy: How On Location Is Shaping FIFA World Cup 2026 Hospitality

On Location is delivering premium, once-in-a-lifetime experiences at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jan 18, 2026; Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Michael Zheng of United States in action against Sebastian Korda of United States in the first round of the men’s singles at the Australian Open at Kia Arena in Melbourne Park. Mandatory Credit:
March 6, 2026

Columbia Tennis Star Says He Claimed $150K from Australian Open

It was unclear if he could do so under NCAA rules.
Mar 3, 2026; Charlottesville, Virginia, USA; Virginia Cavaliers guard Malik Thomas (1) drives to the basket as Wake Forest Demon Deacons forward Juke Harris (2) defends in the second half at John Paul Jones Arena.
March 6, 2026

Men’s College Hoops Was Kalshi’s Most Bet-On Sport in February

The NCAA is once again asking Kalshi to stop using the term “March Madness.”
Former Auburn Tigers head coach Bruce Pearl talks with fans before Auburn Tigers take on the Houston Cougars at Legacy Arena in Birmingham, Ala. on Sunday, Nov. 16, 2025.
March 5, 2026

Miami (Ohio) AD Rips TNT Analyst Bruce Pearl’s Auburn Bias

David Sayler called the ex-Auburn coach’s comments “disrespectful.”
Jan 1, 2026; New Orleans, LA, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) is interviewed after the 2026 Sugar Bowl and quarterfinal game of the College Football Playoff against the Georgia Bulldogs at Caesars Superdome.
March 5, 2026

NCAA Challenges Trinidad Chambliss Eligibility Decision

The NCAA wrote the injunction causes “irreparable harm.”