September 3, 2021

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Welcome to FOS College, where the numbers show how COVID is ravaging states with Southeastern Conference schools — right as the conference, and the rest of FBS football, kicks off a season most expected to be “normal.”

– Amanda Christovich

An Ominous Landscape

Photo: Kim Klement-USA TODAY/Design: Alex Brooks

Last night saw a mecca of college football matchups from Ohio State vs. Minnesota to Boise State vs. UCF. 

From a sellout crowd at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis to a packed Ohio State bar in New York City, it looked remarkably normal. But despite vaccines, COVID-19 cases are on the rise again in the U.S. — so it’s unclear how long it will stay normal.

The most powerful conference, the SEC, kicked off its season with the Tennessee Vols crushing Bowling Green, 38-6. And tomorrow, 12 more of the conferences’ schools will play.

But the SEC has a particular problem: Several states with SEC schools are battling some of the worst outbreaks in the nation and rank among the country’s lowest vaccination rates.

As of Sept. 3, seven of the 10 states and/or territories with the most cases per 100,000 residents (per The New York Times COVID tracker) also host SEC football on Saturdays.

South Carolina tops the chart, Tennessee ranks second, and Alabama is tied with Kentucky for third — raising questions about whether another campus-wide outbreak is inevitable this year. Though cases have declined in Mississippi and Florida, the states still rank fifth and sixth in the nation, respectively.

SEC states don’t fare much better with vaccines. Mississippi and Alabama have the lowest rates in the country, at 38% and 39%, respectively. Louisiana, Arkansas, and Georgia also rank in the bottom 10. 

The nationwide vaccination rate is 53%.

The SEC itself has tried to do its part. During media days this summer, Commissioner Greg Sankey implored football players to get vaccinated. It’s science, “not political football,” he said at the time. 

Nick Saban appeared in a public service announcement in May urging Alabama residents to get vaccines. And the Alabama Department of Public Health announced an NIL deal with athletes across the state, where they’d get compensated for making videos encouraging fans to get vaccines.

We don’t really know how well SEC teams are able to protect themselves from the variant ripping through their communities. There’s been no official word on league-wide progress since Sankey announced in July that only six of 14 teams had more than 80% of athletes vaccinated.

A few teams have successful vaccination rates. On Aug. 18, Saban told ESPN that all but one player on the team had been vaccinated. LSU football announced a 99.1% vaccination rate on Aug. 24. Only one SEC school has touted a 100% vaccination rate among the football program: Ole Miss. 

An SEC spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment.

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Handling Game Day

Photo: Adam Hagy-USA TODAY/Design: Alex Brooks

The SEC and schools haven’t ignored the rapid spread of the Delta variant. Like other conferences, they’ve instituted a game cancelation policy. 

Though it is technically effective for “COVID-19, injuries or other reasons,” the SEC’s cancelation policy effectively punishes teams who sustain COVID outbreaks — similar to policies for several other FBS conferences.

If a team doesn’t have enough players available, the game will be canceled and that team “will be assigned a loss,” the conference announced on Aug. 30. The other team will receive a win.

If a game is canceled because neither team has enough players, they both receive losses.

But there’s no conference-wide policy for fan safety measures. At last night’s Vols game at Neyland Stadium, for example, there was no vaccine mandate for fans.

In some cases, COVID mitigation rules aren’t up to teams. Due to state law, the Florida Gators could be fined for requiring vaccines for entry to games. However, the athletic department is offering vaccines to fans before kickoff.

At Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, on the other hand, all fans 12 or older will have to show proof that they received at least one vaccine dose, or provide a negative PCR test from 72 hours before entering. The decision was because of “the significant threat presented by COVID-19 across the state of Louisiana due to the highly transmissible Delta variant,” according to the announcement.

It’s unclear, of course, whether LSU will be able to implement that policy at home games anytime soon — they’re playing in Los Angeles this weekend, and there’s no word yet on when they can return back to Baton Rouge in the wake of Hurricane Ida.

In Other News

  • The Big 12 has “seriously discussed” adding BYU, UCF, Cincinnati and/or Houston to the conference, according to a report from The Athletic.
  • The University of Denver announced that it signed SuperBook Sports as its first official sports betting partner, joining a growing list of college entities with ties to sports betting.
  • Oregon Ducks football player Kayvon Thibodeaux signed an NIL deal with eBay, according to NBC Sports. The two are partnering to create an auction selling art.

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Final Thoughts

Last FBS football season was, frankly, a mess. But one thing was clear: No amount of outbreaks could halt it entirely.

For places where football is king, why stop this time around? Don’t be surprised by an even stronger “we MUST play” mentality this fall, when fans in stands and full schedules make the situation look more normal than it is.

Everyone hopes the progress we’ve made with vaccines and mitigation strategies will help keep teams safe. But in Week 1, are we sure we’re not underestimating the variant?

Note: FOS College will now hit your inbox Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays at 1 p.m. ET.

Tips? Feedback? Reach out to me at amanda@fos.company or on Twitter.

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Written by Amanda Christovich

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